Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o valor médio da casa em Nova York no dia 30 de junho?
Qual será o valor médio da casa em Nova York no dia 30 de junho?
$606 mil - $613 mil 40%
$613k - $620k 32%
>$620 mil 13%
$599 mil - $606 mil 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
$599 mil - $606 mil
9%
<US$585 mil
6%
$606 mil - $613 mil
40%
US$ 585 mil - US$ 592 mil
6%
$592 mil - $599 mil
5%
$613k - $620k
32%
>$620 mil
13%
$606 mil - $613 mil 40%
$613k - $620k 32%
>$620 mil 13%
$599 mil - $606 mil 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
$599 mil - $606 mil
$502 Vol.
9%
<US$585 mil
$77 Vol.
6%
$606 mil - $613 mil
$135 Vol.
40%
US$ 585 mil - US$ 592 mil
$77 Vol.
6%
$592 mil - $599 mil
$86 Vol.
5%
$613k - $620k
$90 Vol.
32%
>$620 mil
$79 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Mercado Aberto: Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,047Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Volume
$1,047Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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