**Elevated inventory from federal workforce reductions and mixed price signals are anchoring trader expectations for the DC Metro median home value near or below $554k by June 30.** Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro median listing price at $595,000 in May 2026, up modestly from April but reflecting broader softening amid roughly 50% higher listings year-over-year versus only modest sales growth. Zillow Home Value Index readings for the metro hover in the mid-to-high $560k–$580k range with flat-to-downward trends, consistent with forecasts of a 1% full-year decline to around $617k driven by federal employment uncertainty that has boosted supply and lengthened days on market. With resolution imminent in two weeks, limited seasonal momentum and ongoing labor market pressures in the region reinforce the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket, while narrower higher bands capture only residual upside risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<US$554k 80%
$554k - $558k 10%
$558k - $562k 8%
$570 mil - $572 mil 8%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
<US$554k
80%
$554k - $558k
10%
$558k - $562k
8%
US$ 562 mil - US$ 566 mil
7%
$566k - $570k
7%
$570 mil - $572 mil
8%
>US$572 mil
5%
<US$554k 80%
$554k - $558k 10%
$558k - $562k 8%
$570 mil - $572 mil 8%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
<US$554k
$448 Vol.
80%
$554k - $558k
$73 Vol.
10%
$558k - $562k
$73 Vol.
8%
US$ 562 mil - US$ 566 mil
$46 Vol.
7%
$566k - $570k
$46 Vol.
7%
$570 mil - $572 mil
$46 Vol.
8%
>US$572 mil
$71 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---**Elevated inventory from federal workforce reductions and mixed price signals are anchoring trader expectations for the DC Metro median home value near or below $554k by June 30.**
Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro median listing price at $595,000 in May 2026, up modestly from April but reflecting broader softening amid roughly 50% higher listings year-over-year versus only modest sales growth. Zillow Home Value Index readings for the metro hover in the mid-to-high $560k–$580k range with flat-to-downward trends, consistent with forecasts of a 1% full-year decline to around $617k driven by federal employment uncertainty that has boosted supply and lengthened days on market. With resolution imminent in two weeks, limited seasonal momentum and ongoing labor market pressures in the region reinforce the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket, while narrower higher bands capture only residual upside risk.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Mercado Aberto: Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Volume
$802Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---**Elevated inventory from federal workforce reductions and mixed price signals are anchoring trader expectations for the DC Metro median home value near or below $554k by June 30.**
Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro median listing price at $595,000 in May 2026, up modestly from April but reflecting broader softening amid roughly 50% higher listings year-over-year versus only modest sales growth. Zillow Home Value Index readings for the metro hover in the mid-to-high $560k–$580k range with flat-to-downward trends, consistent with forecasts of a 1% full-year decline to around $617k driven by federal employment uncertainty that has boosted supply and lengthened days on market. With resolution imminent in two weeks, limited seasonal momentum and ongoing labor market pressures in the region reinforce the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket, while narrower higher bands capture only residual upside risk.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volume
$802Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated inventory from federal workforce reductions and mixed price signals are anchoring trader expectations for the DC Metro median home value near or below $554k by June 30.** Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro median listing price at $595,000 in May 2026, up modestly from April but reflecting broader softening amid roughly 50% higher listings year-over-year versus only modest sales growth. Zillow Home Value Index readings for the metro hover in the mid-to-high $560k–$580k range with flat-to-downward trends, consistent with forecasts of a 1% full-year decline to around $617k driven by federal employment uncertainty that has boosted supply and lengthened days on market. With resolution imminent in two weeks, limited seasonal momentum and ongoing labor market pressures in the region reinforce the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket, while narrower higher bands capture only residual upside risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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