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Economia·Consumer

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

icon for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026
Economia·Consumer

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

46.0–48.9 43%

49.0–51.9 36.6%

40.0–42.9 7.1%

<40.0 6.5%

Polymarket

$114,321 Vol.

46.0–48.9 43%

49.0–51.9 36.6%

40.0–42.9 7.1%

<40.0 6.5%

Polymarket

$114,321 Vol.

<40.0

$34,928 Vol.

6%

40.0–42.9

$17,899 Vol.

7%

43.0–45.9

$13,476 Vol.

5%

46.0–48.9

$20,739 Vol.

43%

49.0–51.9

$15,385 Vol.

37%

52.0–54.9

$6,668 Vol.

1%

≥55.0

$5,227 Vol.

<1%

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 48.9, released June 12 and exceeding consensus estimates near 46, has anchored trader positioning around the 46.0–48.9 and 49.0–51.9 bins for the final print due June 26. Early-month declines in gasoline prices delivered broad-based relief, particularly for lower-income households, lifting both the current conditions and expectations components while nudging one-year inflation expectations modestly lower to 4.6%. Persistent cost-of-living pressures and year-over-year weakness—still 19% below June 2025 levels—continue to cap upside, with labor-market softening and elevated short-term inflation concerns acting as offsetting drags. Market-implied odds reflect the typical limited revision between preliminary and final releases alongside uncertainty over any further energy-price volatility or incoming data ahead of the June 26 close.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$114,321
Data de Término
26 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 48.9, released June 12 and exceeding consensus estimates near 46, has anchored trader positioning around the 46.0–48.9 and 49.0–51.9 bins for the final print due June 26. Early-month declines in gasoline prices delivered broad-based relief, particularly for lower-income households, lifting both the current conditions and expectations components while nudging one-year inflation expectations modestly lower to 4.6%. Persistent cost-of-living pressures and year-over-year weakness—still 19% below June 2025 levels—continue to cap upside, with labor-market softening and elevated short-term inflation concerns acting as offsetting drags. Market-implied odds reflect the typical limited revision between preliminary and final releases alongside uncertainty over any further energy-price volatility or incoming data ahead of the June 26 close.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$114,321
Data de Término
26 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "46.0–48.9" at 43%, followed by "49.0–51.9" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026" has generated $114.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026" is "46.0–48.9" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "49.0–51.9" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.