Recent May 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.5% monthly increase and 4.2% annual rate—the highest in three years—has anchored trader focus for the June print, with energy prices contributing over 60% of the monthly gain amid geopolitical supply pressures. The Cleveland Fed's June 10 nowcast points to a subdued 0.07% month-over-month headline rise and 0.23% for core, tempering expectations after April's 0.6% print. Closely matched Polymarket odds across low single-digit buckets highlight uncertainty from volatile energy components, persistent shelter inflation near 3.4%, and potential revisions, with the July 14 release serving as the key resolution catalyst. Market-implied probabilities aggregate real-capital consensus on these near-term data dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado≤0,1% 47%
0,2% 38%
0,8% 35%
0,7% 33%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jul 2026
≤0,1%
47%
0,2%
38%
0,3%
16%
0,4%
29%
0,5%
29%
0,6%
28%
0,7%
33%
0,8%
35%
≥0,9%
33%
≤0,1% 47%
0,2% 38%
0,8% 35%
0,7% 33%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jul 2026
≤0,1%
$30 Vol.
47%
0,2%
$0 Vol.
38%
0,3%
$0 Vol.
16%
0,4%
$0 Vol.
29%
0,5%
$14 Vol.
29%
0,6%
$14 Vol.
28%
0,7%
$58 Vol.
33%
0,8%
$57 Vol.
35%
≥0,9%
$54 Vol.
33%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.5% monthly increase and 4.2% annual rate—the highest in three years—has anchored trader focus for the June print, with energy prices contributing over 60% of the monthly gain amid geopolitical supply pressures. The Cleveland Fed's June 10 nowcast points to a subdued 0.07% month-over-month headline rise and 0.23% for core, tempering expectations after April's 0.6% print. Closely matched Polymarket odds across low single-digit buckets highlight uncertainty from volatile energy components, persistent shelter inflation near 3.4%, and potential revisions, with the July 14 release serving as the key resolution catalyst. Market-implied probabilities aggregate real-capital consensus on these near-term data dynamics.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ET
Volume
$227Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.5% monthly increase and 4.2% annual rate—the highest in three years—has anchored trader focus for the June print, with energy prices contributing over 60% of the monthly gain amid geopolitical supply pressures. The Cleveland Fed's June 10 nowcast points to a subdued 0.07% month-over-month headline rise and 0.23% for core, tempering expectations after April's 0.6% print. Closely matched Polymarket odds across low single-digit buckets highlight uncertainty from volatile energy components, persistent shelter inflation near 3.4%, and potential revisions, with the July 14 release serving as the key resolution catalyst. Market-implied probabilities aggregate real-capital consensus on these near-term data dynamics.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$227Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.5% monthly increase and 4.2% annual rate—the highest in three years—has anchored trader focus for the June print, with energy prices contributing over 60% of the monthly gain amid geopolitical supply pressures. The Cleveland Fed's June 10 nowcast points to a subdued 0.07% month-over-month headline rise and 0.23% for core, tempering expectations after April's 0.6% print. Closely matched Polymarket odds across low single-digit buckets highlight uncertainty from volatile energy components, persistent shelter inflation near 3.4%, and potential revisions, with the July 14 release serving as the key resolution catalyst. Market-implied probabilities aggregate real-capital consensus on these near-term data dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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