Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East conflict have pushed Eurozone headline HICP inflation to a flash 3.0% annual rate in April 2026, up sharply from 2.6% in March and 1.9% in February, with energy components accelerating to 10.9%. Core inflation excluding energy eased to 2.2%, while professional forecasters and ECB staff projections now center on a 2.6-2.7% average for full-year 2026. Against this backdrop, Polymarket traders assign 57.5% implied probability to outcomes above 3.1%, pricing in risks of persistent supply shocks outweighing demand weakness and euro appreciation that could otherwise moderate the path. Next Eurostat releases and any ECB communications on policy stance remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual da Zona Euro 2026
Inflação Anual da Zona Euro 2026
3,1%+ 60.9%
2,8-3,0% 22.8%
<1,0% 12.8%
2,2–2,4% 11.3%
$12,547 Vol.
$12,547 Vol.
19 jan 2027
<1,0%
23%
1,0–1,2%
4%
1,3–1,5%
<1%
1,6–1,8%
1%
1,9–2,1%
2%
2,2–2,4%
11%
2,5–2,7%
11%
2,8-3,0%
23%
3,1%+
64%
3,1%+ 60.9%
2,8-3,0% 22.8%
<1,0% 12.8%
2,2–2,4% 11.3%
$12,547 Vol.
$12,547 Vol.
19 jan 2027
<1,0%
$1,069 Vol.
23%
1,0–1,2%
$769 Vol.
4%
1,3–1,5%
$1,910 Vol.
<1%
1,6–1,8%
$1,019 Vol.
1%
1,9–2,1%
$2,821 Vol.
2%
2,2–2,4%
$1,021 Vol.
11%
2,5–2,7%
$1,139 Vol.
11%
2,8-3,0%
$635 Vol.
23%
3,1%+
$2,163 Vol.
64%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges tied to Middle East conflict have pushed Eurozone headline HICP inflation to a flash 3.0% annual rate in April 2026, up sharply from 2.6% in March and 1.9% in February, with energy components accelerating to 10.9%. Core inflation excluding energy eased to 2.2%, while professional forecasters and ECB staff projections now center on a 2.6-2.7% average for full-year 2026. Against this backdrop, Polymarket traders assign 57.5% implied probability to outcomes above 3.1%, pricing in risks of persistent supply shocks outweighing demand weakness and euro appreciation that could otherwise moderate the path. Next Eurostat releases and any ECB communications on policy stance remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,547Data de Término
19 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges tied to Middle East conflict have pushed Eurozone headline HICP inflation to a flash 3.0% annual rate in April 2026, up sharply from 2.6% in March and 1.9% in February, with energy components accelerating to 10.9%. Core inflation excluding energy eased to 2.2%, while professional forecasters and ECB staff projections now center on a 2.6-2.7% average for full-year 2026. Against this backdrop, Polymarket traders assign 57.5% implied probability to outcomes above 3.1%, pricing in risks of persistent supply shocks outweighing demand weakness and euro appreciation that could otherwise moderate the path. Next Eurostat releases and any ECB communications on policy stance remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$12,547Data de Término
19 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East conflict have pushed Eurozone headline HICP inflation to a flash 3.0% annual rate in April 2026, up sharply from 2.6% in March and 1.9% in February, with energy components accelerating to 10.9%. Core inflation excluding energy eased to 2.2%, while professional forecasters and ECB staff projections now center on a 2.6-2.7% average for full-year 2026. Against this backdrop, Polymarket traders assign 57.5% implied probability to outcomes above 3.1%, pricing in risks of persistent supply shocks outweighing demand weakness and euro appreciation that could otherwise moderate the path. Next Eurostat releases and any ECB communications on policy stance remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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