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icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?

icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?

US$ 1,138M - US$ 1,171M 52%

$1.105M - $1.138M 30%

$1.171M - $1.204M 9%

US$ 1,072M - US$ 1,105M 6%

Polymarket
NOVO

US$ 1,138M - US$ 1,171M 52%

$1.105M - $1.138M 30%

$1.171M - $1.204M 9%

US$ 1,072M - US$ 1,105M 6%

Polymarket
NOVO

<US$1,072M

$70 Vol.

5%

US$ 1,072M - US$ 1,105M

$70 Vol.

6%

$1.105M - $1.138M

$70 Vol.

30%

US$ 1,138M - US$ 1,171M

$78 Vol.

52%

$1.171M - $1.204M

$72 Vol.

9%

$1,204M - $1,237M

$70 Vol.

6%

>$1,237M

$70 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin indicate Miami's typical home values have edged modestly lower year-over-year through May 2026, settling near $580K-$650K amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6%. This cooling reflects rising inventory—particularly in condos—and a shift toward balanced or buyer-favorable conditions, tempering broad price gains despite ongoing wealth migration and luxury demand. Trader consensus around the $1.138M-$1.171M range (56% implied probability) aligns with expectations for near-term stability through June 30, as limited new supply shocks and steady high-end interest offset affordability constraints. Key near-term catalysts include any further Fed signals on rates and June sales reports that could influence final readings.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Volume
$501
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin indicate Miami's typical home values have edged modestly lower year-over-year through May 2026, settling near $580K-$650K amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6%. This cooling reflects rising inventory—particularly in condos—and a shift toward balanced or buyer-favorable conditions, tempering broad price gains despite ongoing wealth migration and luxury demand. Trader consensus around the $1.138M-$1.171M range (56% implied probability) aligns with expectations for near-term stability through June 30, as limited new supply shocks and steady high-end interest offset affordability constraints. Key near-term catalysts include any further Fed signals on rates and June sales reports that could influence final readings.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Volume
$501
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "US$ 1,138M - US$ 1,171M" at 52%, followed by "$1.105M - $1.138M" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?" is "US$ 1,138M - US$ 1,171M" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1.105M - $1.138M" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.