Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de junho?
Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de junho?
<US$481 mil 94%
$481 mil - $484 mil 12%
$484 mil - $487 mil 6.3%
$493 mil - $495 mil <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
$481 mil - $484 mil
13%
$484 mil - $487 mil
7%
$493 mil - $495 mil
<1%
US$490 mil - US$493 mil
<1%
>$495 mil
<1%
$487 mil - $490 mil
<1%
<US$481 mil
78%
<US$481 mil 94%
$481 mil - $484 mil 12%
$484 mil - $487 mil 6.3%
$493 mil - $495 mil <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
$481 mil - $484 mil
$519 Vol.
13%
$484 mil - $487 mil
$960 Vol.
7%
$493 mil - $495 mil
$570 Vol.
<1%
US$490 mil - US$493 mil
$543 Vol.
<1%
>$495 mil
$986 Vol.
<1%
$487 mil - $490 mil
$606 Vol.
<1%
<US$481 mil
$1,007 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Mercado Aberto: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volume
$5,191Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Volume
$5,191Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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