Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting FIFA president Gianni Infantino's recent confirmation of Iran's participation alongside the Iranian Football Federation's May 9 statement that Team Melli will "definitely" compete despite U.S. visa and security concerns. Geopolitical tensions escalated after U.S. strikes prompted Iran's March travel ban to "hostile" nations and withdrawal signals, but AFC received no formal notice, and proposals to slot in Italy—pushed by a Trump envoy—were swiftly rejected by FIFA and Italian officials. UAE trails as the next AFC candidate per rankings if Iran forfeits group-stage matches in the U.S., though barring an official pullout or unprecedented FIFA sanction amid the June kickoff, the status quo holds firm.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?
Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?
No Replacement 87.5%
Italy 6.6%
UAE 4.4%
Other <1%
$27,775 Vol.
$27,775 Vol.

No Replacement
88%

Italy
7%

UAE
4%

Other
1%

Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 87.5%
Italy 6.6%
UAE 4.4%
Other <1%
$27,775 Vol.
$27,775 Vol.

No Replacement
88%

Italy
7%

UAE
4%

Other
1%

Bolivia
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting FIFA president Gianni Infantino's recent confirmation of Iran's participation alongside the Iranian Football Federation's May 9 statement that Team Melli will "definitely" compete despite U.S. visa and security concerns. Geopolitical tensions escalated after U.S. strikes prompted Iran's March travel ban to "hostile" nations and withdrawal signals, but AFC received no formal notice, and proposals to slot in Italy—pushed by a Trump envoy—were swiftly rejected by FIFA and Italian officials. UAE trails as the next AFC candidate per rankings if Iran forfeits group-stage matches in the U.S., though barring an official pullout or unprecedented FIFA sanction amid the June kickoff, the status quo holds firm.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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