Skip to main content
icon for Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?

Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?

icon for Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?

Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?

No Replacement 87.5%

Italy 6.6%

UAE 4.4%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$27,775 Vol.

No Replacement 87.5%

Italy 6.6%

UAE 4.4%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$27,775 Vol.

icon for No Replacement

No Replacement

$7,818 Vol.

88%

icon for Italy

Italy

$13,075 Vol.

7%

icon for UAE

UAE

$2,961 Vol.

4%

icon for Other

Other

$2,280 Vol.

1%

icon for Bolivia

Bolivia

$1,641 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting FIFA president Gianni Infantino's recent confirmation of Iran's participation alongside the Iranian Football Federation's May 9 statement that Team Melli will "definitely" compete despite U.S. visa and security concerns. Geopolitical tensions escalated after U.S. strikes prompted Iran's March travel ban to "hostile" nations and withdrawal signals, but AFC received no formal notice, and proposals to slot in Italy—pushed by a Trump envoy—were swiftly rejected by FIFA and Italian officials. UAE trails as the next AFC candidate per rankings if Iran forfeits group-stage matches in the U.S., though barring an official pullout or unprecedented FIFA sanction amid the June kickoff, the status quo holds firm.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$27,775
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting FIFA president Gianni Infantino's recent confirmation of Iran's participation alongside the Iranian Football Federation's May 9 statement that Team Melli will "definitely" compete despite U.S. visa and security concerns. Geopolitical tensions escalated after U.S. strikes prompted Iran's March travel ban to "hostile" nations and withdrawal signals, but AFC received no formal notice, and proposals to slot in Italy—pushed by a Trump envoy—were swiftly rejected by FIFA and Italian officials. UAE trails as the next AFC candidate per rankings if Iran forfeits group-stage matches in the U.S., though barring an official pullout or unprecedented FIFA sanction amid the June kickoff, the status quo holds firm.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$27,775
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Replacement" at 88%, followed by "Italy" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?" has generated $27.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?" is "No Replacement" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Italy" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual equipa substituirá o Irão no Campeonato do Mundo da FIFA?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.