US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled amid conflicting signals as of mid-August 2026, with Washington asserting ongoing indirect negotiations while Tehran denies plans for direct talks and emphasizes Oman-mediated discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. The June 17 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day window for finalizing a peace framework covering nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime access, but technical rounds in Switzerland and Doha produced limited progress before recent deadlock. Pakistan has stepped up mediation efforts, and Vice President JD Vance has described any deal as time-consuming and complex. Key variables through August 31 include whether high-level US or Iranian officials join mediated sessions, any breakthrough on Hormuz navigation, or escalation that disrupts diplomacy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$90,878 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
26%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Jared Kushner
10%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
8%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,878 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Vol.
26%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 Vol.
11%
Jared Kushner
$13,340 Vol.
10%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 Vol.
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 Vol.
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 Vol.
8%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 Vol.
8%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Vol.
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,194 Vol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 Vol.
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$456 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled amid conflicting signals as of mid-August 2026, with Washington asserting ongoing indirect negotiations while Tehran denies plans for direct talks and emphasizes Oman-mediated discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. The June 17 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day window for finalizing a peace framework covering nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime access, but technical rounds in Switzerland and Doha produced limited progress before recent deadlock. Pakistan has stepped up mediation efforts, and Vice President JD Vance has described any deal as time-consuming and complex. Key variables through August 31 include whether high-level US or Iranian officials join mediated sessions, any breakthrough on Hormuz navigation, or escalation that disrupts diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$90,878Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled amid conflicting signals as of mid-August 2026, with Washington asserting ongoing indirect negotiations while Tehran denies plans for direct talks and emphasizes Oman-mediated discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. The June 17 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day window for finalizing a peace framework covering nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime access, but technical rounds in Switzerland and Doha produced limited progress before recent deadlock. Pakistan has stepped up mediation efforts, and Vice President JD Vance has described any deal as time-consuming and complex. Key variables through August 31 include whether high-level US or Iranian officials join mediated sessions, any breakthrough on Hormuz navigation, or escalation that disrupts diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$90,878Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled amid conflicting signals as of mid-August 2026, with Washington asserting ongoing indirect negotiations while Tehran denies plans for direct talks and emphasizes Oman-mediated discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. The June 17 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day window for finalizing a peace framework covering nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime access, but technical rounds in Switzerland and Doha produced limited progress before recent deadlock. Pakistan has stepped up mediation efforts, and Vice President JD Vance has described any deal as time-consuming and complex. Key variables through August 31 include whether high-level US or Iranian officials join mediated sessions, any breakthrough on Hormuz navigation, or escalation that disrupts diplomacy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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