Recent US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on reviving elements of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program following earlier technical talks in Switzerland and Doha. As of mid-August, negotiations remain stalled, with Washington asserting ongoing indirect contacts through mediators such as Pakistan and Oman while Tehran denies direct engagement and reports no progress on core sticking points including frozen assets and shipping routes. The monthlong ceasefire faces expiration amid these disputes, and conflicting public statements from both sides have heightened uncertainty about whether a new round can convene before the August 31 deadline. Trader assessments reflect this impasse, as any breakthrough would likely require coordinated movement on Hormuz access and sanctions timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$90,878 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
26%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Jared Kushner
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
5%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,878 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Vol.
26%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 Vol.
11%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 Vol.
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 Vol.
10%
Jared Kushner
$13,340 Vol.
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 Vol.
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 Vol.
7%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Vol.
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
6%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,194 Vol.
5%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 Vol.
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$456 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on reviving elements of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program following earlier technical talks in Switzerland and Doha. As of mid-August, negotiations remain stalled, with Washington asserting ongoing indirect contacts through mediators such as Pakistan and Oman while Tehran denies direct engagement and reports no progress on core sticking points including frozen assets and shipping routes. The monthlong ceasefire faces expiration amid these disputes, and conflicting public statements from both sides have heightened uncertainty about whether a new round can convene before the August 31 deadline. Trader assessments reflect this impasse, as any breakthrough would likely require coordinated movement on Hormuz access and sanctions timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$90,878Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on reviving elements of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program following earlier technical talks in Switzerland and Doha. As of mid-August, negotiations remain stalled, with Washington asserting ongoing indirect contacts through mediators such as Pakistan and Oman while Tehran denies direct engagement and reports no progress on core sticking points including frozen assets and shipping routes. The monthlong ceasefire faces expiration amid these disputes, and conflicting public statements from both sides have heightened uncertainty about whether a new round can convene before the August 31 deadline. Trader assessments reflect this impasse, as any breakthrough would likely require coordinated movement on Hormuz access and sanctions timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$90,878Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on reviving elements of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program following earlier technical talks in Switzerland and Doha. As of mid-August, negotiations remain stalled, with Washington asserting ongoing indirect contacts through mediators such as Pakistan and Oman while Tehran denies direct engagement and reports no progress on core sticking points including frozen assets and shipping routes. The monthlong ceasefire faces expiration amid these disputes, and conflicting public statements from both sides have heightened uncertainty about whether a new round can convene before the August 31 deadline. Trader assessments reflect this impasse, as any breakthrough would likely require coordinated movement on Hormuz access and sanctions timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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