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Política·Big Tech

Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?

icon for Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?
Política·Big Tech

Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?

Paramount 77%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 19%

Netflix <1%

Comcast <1%

Polymarket

$1,082,811 Vol.

Paramount 77%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 19%

Netflix <1%

Comcast <1%

Polymarket

$1,082,811 Vol.

Paramount

$454,231 Vol.

77%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027

$172,485 Vol.

19%

Netflix

$235,350 Vol.

<1%

Comcast

$220,746 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders overwhelmingly approved Paramount Skydance's $111 billion acquisition on April 23, advancing the February definitive agreement and boosting trader consensus to imply 77% odds of Paramount closing the deal by June 30, 2027. Recent regulatory hurdles have sustained 18.5% pricing on "None," including U.S. House lawmakers grilling CEO David Ellison on antitrust risks May 12, EU scrutiny pledges May 14, and California AG flagging potential job losses and reduced competition amid DOJ post-HSR review. Paramount defends the merger as essential to rival Netflix and others, while faded Netflix (0.3%) and Comcast (0.2%) bids reflect their outbid status.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Volume
$1,082,811
Data de Término
30 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders overwhelmingly approved Paramount Skydance's $111 billion acquisition on April 23, advancing the February definitive agreement and boosting trader consensus to imply 77% odds of Paramount closing the deal by June 30, 2027. Recent regulatory hurdles have sustained 18.5% pricing on "None," including U.S. House lawmakers grilling CEO David Ellison on antitrust risks May 12, EU scrutiny pledges May 14, and California AG flagging potential job losses and reduced competition amid DOJ post-HSR review. Paramount defends the merger as essential to rival Netflix and others, while faded Netflix (0.3%) and Comcast (0.2%) bids reflect their outbid status.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Volume
$1,082,811
Data de Término
30 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paramount" at 77%, followed by "Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" is "Paramount" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.