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icon for Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?

Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?

icon for Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?

Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?

18% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
18% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tournament structure in major knockout competitions like the World Cup or Euros makes three or more penalty shootouts for any single team highly improbable, as it requires advancing via shootouts across multiple rounds such as the round of 16, quarterfinals, and semifinals. Historical patterns show few teams reaching even two shootouts in one edition due to the physical and mental demands, combined with the limited number of knockout ties overall. Recent form from prior tournaments reinforces this, with most teams either winning in regulation or exiting early without repeated extra-time scenarios. Traders' 82% implied probability on "No" aligns with these matchup and scheduling dynamics that favor decisive results over repeated lotteries.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tournament structure in major knockout competitions like the World Cup or Euros makes three or more penalty shootouts for any single team highly improbable, as it requires advancing via shootouts across multiple rounds such as the round of 16, quarterfinals, and semifinals. Historical patterns show few teams reaching even two shootouts in one edition due to the physical and mental demands, combined with the limited number of knockout ties overall. Recent form from prior tournaments reinforces this, with most teams either winning in regulation or exiting early without repeated extra-time scenarios. Traders' 82% implied probability on "No" aligns with these matchup and scheduling dynamics that favor decisive results over repeated lotteries.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 18% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 18¢, the market collectively assigns a 18% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?" is 18% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 18% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Alguma equipe participará de mais de 3 pênaltis na fase eliminatória?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.