Russian forces have sustained limited ground attacks east of Dobropillia in Donetsk Oblast through early May 2026, though assessments indicate no confirmed advances into the city itself. Ukrainian defenses, reinforced by elite formations including elements of the 1st Azov Corps, have contained prior Russian gains from the 2025 Dobropillia offensive, restoring control over several settlements and stabilizing key logistics routes. Ongoing Russian pressure focuses on incremental gains toward the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis amid broader Donbas operations, with Ukrainian counter-moves and recruitment challenges shaping the front. Traders monitor daily reports of infiltration attempts, artillery duels, and any shifts in force concentration that could alter the timeline for entry into the city.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Rússia entrará em Dobropillia até...?
$114,152 Vol.
31 de maio
3%
June 30
10%
$114,152 Vol.
31 de maio
3%
June 30
10%
This market refers to the city of Dobropillia (48.47, 37.08), which borders Sviatohorivka and Hannivka. Other Ukrainian towns/cities named Dobropillia will not be considered for resolution.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Dobropillia is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market refers to the city of Dobropillia (48.47, 37.08), which borders Sviatohorivka and Hannivka. Other Ukrainian towns/cities named Dobropillia will not be considered for resolution.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Dobropillia is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have sustained limited ground attacks east of Dobropillia in Donetsk Oblast through early May 2026, though assessments indicate no confirmed advances into the city itself. Ukrainian defenses, reinforced by elite formations including elements of the 1st Azov Corps, have contained prior Russian gains from the 2025 Dobropillia offensive, restoring control over several settlements and stabilizing key logistics routes. Ongoing Russian pressure focuses on incremental gains toward the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis amid broader Donbas operations, with Ukrainian counter-moves and recruitment challenges shaping the front. Traders monitor daily reports of infiltration attempts, artillery duels, and any shifts in force concentration that could alter the timeline for entry into the city.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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