Russian forces have conducted repeated but unsuccessful attempts to advance on Malokaterynivka, a frontline settlement northwest of Orikhiv in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, using infiltration tactics along the exposed bed of the former Kakhovka Reservoir and supporting artillery and glide bomb strikes. Ukrainian units have repelled these probes through detection, counter-fire, and localized counterattacks, maintaining control amid ongoing shelling that has damaged infrastructure and prompted civilian evacuations. The sector remains secondary to Russia's main effort in Donetsk Oblast around Kostyantynivka and Pokrovsk, where incremental gains continue through small-unit infiltrations. Sustained Ukrainian defensive posture, drone interdiction, and limited Russian manpower allocation in western Zaporizhzhia have constrained momentum, with any shift likely tied to broader force reallocations or intensified strikes before winter.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Rússia entrará em Malokaterynivka até...?
$239,063 Vol.
December 31
8%
$239,063 Vol.
December 31
8%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Malokaterynivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 27, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of Malokaterynivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated but unsuccessful attempts to advance on Malokaterynivka, a frontline settlement northwest of Orikhiv in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, using infiltration tactics along the exposed bed of the former Kakhovka Reservoir and supporting artillery and glide bomb strikes. Ukrainian units have repelled these probes through detection, counter-fire, and localized counterattacks, maintaining control amid ongoing shelling that has damaged infrastructure and prompted civilian evacuations. The sector remains secondary to Russia's main effort in Donetsk Oblast around Kostyantynivka and Pokrovsk, where incremental gains continue through small-unit infiltrations. Sustained Ukrainian defensive posture, drone interdiction, and limited Russian manpower allocation in western Zaporizhzhia have constrained momentum, with any shift likely tied to broader force reallocations or intensified strikes before winter.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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