Russian forces completed the capture of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast during January and February 2026 after a multi-year offensive involving sustained infantry assaults, glide bomb strikes, and manpower concentration exceeding 100,000 troops. By late January, independent assessments confirmed no remaining Ukrainian positions inside the city, shifting subsequent fighting to incremental Russian advances in adjacent villages such as those near Vasylivka and Myrnohrad. As of June 2026, Ukrainian drone interdiction and localized counterattacks have slowed further Russian momentum in the sector while both sides expand kill zones with artillery and unmanned systems. Trader positioning on entry timelines aligns with verified geolocated gains from the prior winter campaign and ongoing tactical engagements that have not altered the established control of the urban center.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
$87,073 Vol.
December 31
44%
$87,073 Vol.
December 31
44%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 27, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces completed the capture of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast during January and February 2026 after a multi-year offensive involving sustained infantry assaults, glide bomb strikes, and manpower concentration exceeding 100,000 troops. By late January, independent assessments confirmed no remaining Ukrainian positions inside the city, shifting subsequent fighting to incremental Russian advances in adjacent villages such as those near Vasylivka and Myrnohrad. As of June 2026, Ukrainian drone interdiction and localized counterattacks have slowed further Russian momentum in the sector while both sides expand kill zones with artillery and unmanned systems. Trader positioning on entry timelines aligns with verified geolocated gains from the prior winter campaign and ongoing tactical engagements that have not altered the established control of the urban center.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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