Skip to main content
icon for Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

icon for Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

66% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
66% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$574
Data de Término
17 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$574
Data de Término
17 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 66% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 66¢, the market collectively assigns a 66% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?" is 66% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 66% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.