Traders assign a 98% probability against a Trump visit to North Korea by June 30 because no diplomatic preparations, envoy exchanges, or public statements have signaled any movement toward a summit in the weeks leading up to the deadline. With less than six weeks remaining, standard advance coordination for presidential travel to Pyongyang has not occurred, and current U.S. foreign policy priorities show no shift in bilateral engagement. Historical precedent indicates such visits demand extensive prior negotiations that are absent here. A last-minute breakthrough in back-channel talks remains theoretically possible but would require rapid, verifiable progress that has not materialized in recent developments.