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icon for Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

icon for Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Sim

4% chance
Polymarket

$196,770 Vol.

Sim

4% chance
Polymarket

$196,770 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent parliamentary reelection of Kim Jong Un as head of state and State Affairs Commission president, combined with Workers’ Party charter revisions that explicitly expand his appointment powers and remove references to prior leaders, has reinforced his centralized control. These steps, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with Russia and China, signal institutional stability with no reported internal challenges or health indicators suggesting transition. Trader consensus at 96 percent against removal by year-end reflects the regime’s opacity and the limited three-month window, where abrupt shifts would require unprecedented events such as sudden incapacitation or elite realignment not observed in recent state media or intelligence assessments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$196,770
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent parliamentary reelection of Kim Jong Un as head of state and State Affairs Commission president, combined with Workers’ Party charter revisions that explicitly expand his appointment powers and remove references to prior leaders, has reinforced his centralized control. These steps, alongside ongoing military modernization and diplomatic engagement with Russia and China, signal institutional stability with no reported internal challenges or health indicators suggesting transition. Trader consensus at 96 percent against removal by year-end reflects the regime’s opacity and the limited three-month window, where abrupt shifts would require unprecedented events such as sudden incapacitation or elite realignment not observed in recent state media or intelligence assessments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$196,770
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kim Jong Un fora como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $196.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Kim Jong Un fora como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Kim Jong Un como Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.