Belgium's superior squad depth, experience in major tournaments, and higher FIFA ranking establish them as the consensus favorite to win Group G at the 2026 World Cup, reflected in the 69.5% implied probability. Egypt follows at 16.5% due to Mohamed Salah's individual quality and recent form in qualifiers, though the team faces challenges in overall depth. Iran sits at 12.3% on the strength of its organized defense and regional competitiveness, while New Zealand trails at 3.5% as the group underdog with limited international pedigree. Recent friendlies and final qualifier results have reinforced these gaps without major roster shifts altering the hierarchy.