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World Cup: Group of Champion

icon for World Cup: Group of Champion

World Cup: Group of Champion

Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 24%

Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%

Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 13%

Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%

Polymarket

$18,507 Vol.

Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 24%

Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%

Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 13%

Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%

Polymarket

$18,507 Vol.

Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)

$2,843 Vol.

24%

Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)

$5,454 Vol.

22%

Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)

$2,111 Vol.

13%

Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)

$4,161 Vol.

11%

Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)

$161 Vol.

10%

Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)

$830 Vol.

8%

Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)

$889 Vol.

7%

Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)

$632 Vol.

6%

Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)

$763 Vol.

6%

Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)

$188 Vol.

3%

Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)

$127 Vol.

3%

Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)

$347 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.

This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,507
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.

This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,507
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Group of Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)" at 24%, followed by "Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Group of Champion" has generated $18.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Group of Champion," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Group of Champion" is "Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Group of Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.