Haiti's assignment to Group C alongside Brazil, Morocco, and Scotland drives the overwhelming 95% implied probability of a group-stage exit, reflecting the team's limited depth and experience relative to CONCACAF standards despite its historic qualification. Recent pre-tournament friendlies and the opening 0-1 loss to Scotland underscore defensive vulnerabilities and a lack of attacking firepower against elite opposition. Traders' consensus aligns with historical patterns for debutants or returning minnows facing multiple top-20 sides. The only realistic paths to later rounds would require improbable results such as multiple upsets or major injuries disrupting the favorites, though Haiti's recent form and squad constraints make such shifts unlikely.