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icon for Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?

Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?

icon for Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?

Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?

64% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
64% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lionel Messi enters the 2026 World Cup as Argentina’s primary penalty taker after converting a spot kick in the final pre-tournament friendly against Iceland, where he returned from a brief hamstring concern. The defending champions’ expected deep run increases the volume of matches and set-piece opportunities, while Messi’s established role on set pieces and strong conversion rate from the spot underpin the 63.5% implied probability for him to convert two or more. Recent form and workload management further support his availability across multiple knockout rounds.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,137
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lionel Messi enters the 2026 World Cup as Argentina’s primary penalty taker after converting a spot kick in the final pre-tournament friendly against Iceland, where he returned from a brief hamstring concern. The defending champions’ expected deep run increases the volume of matches and set-piece opportunities, while Messi’s established role on set pieces and strong conversion rate from the spot underpin the 63.5% implied probability for him to convert two or more. Recent form and workload management further support his availability across multiple knockout rounds.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,137
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 64% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 64¢, the market collectively assigns a 64% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?" is 64% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 64% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Copa do Mundo: Messi marcará mais de 2 pênaltis?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.