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Copa do Mundo: nação chega às semifinais

icon for Copa do Mundo: nação chega às semifinais

Copa do Mundo: nação chega às semifinais

$1,095,989 Vol.

13 jul 2026
Polymarket

$1,095,989 Vol.

Polymarket

Iran

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

Egypt

$3,469 Vol.

4%

Canada

$14,953 Vol.

4%

Morocco

$36,893 Vol.

10%

Norway

$48,804 Vol.

16%

Colombia

$24,904 Vol.

21%

Japan

$75,847 Vol.

9%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$28,713 Vol.

2%

Brazil

$31,398 Vol.

29%

Australia

$17,201 Vol.

2%

Paraguay

$6,506 Vol.

1%

Netherlands

$24,899 Vol.

23%

Ecuador

$14,780 Vol.

7%

Ghana

$4,367 Vol.

3%

Belgium

$4,140 Vol.

11%

France

$68,460 Vol.

51%

Argentina

$117,437 Vol.

58%

Austria

$11,424 Vol.

2%

Croatia

$19,024 Vol.

6%

DR Congo

$5,019 Vol.

1%

Germany

$13,510 Vol.

19%

Algeria

$2,604 Vol.

2%

Portugal

$39,678 Vol.

29%

Mexico

$53,540 Vol.

16%

Switzerland

$17,855 Vol.

7%

Sweden

$13,146 Vol.

2%

Spain

$40,389 Vol.

49%

South Korea

$19,495 Vol.

<1%

Ivory Coast

$19,299 Vol.

3%

Uzbekistan

$4,628 Vol.

<1%

USA

$91,735 Vol.

17%

Cape Verde

$9,120 Vol.

2%

Senegal

$11,661 Vol.

4%

South Africa

$1,643 Vol.

1%

England

$53,102 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups feeding a 32-team knockout stage and two bracket pathways separating top seeds, shapes trader views on semifinal qualifiers. Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead implied probabilities due to deep squads, strong FIFA rankings, and favorable group draws featuring teams like Uruguay, Senegal, and Algeria. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's victory, provide limited signals while highlighting co-host dynamics and rest advantages heading into the Round of 32. Key variables include injury updates to stars like Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi, historical semifinal experience, and potential upsets from sides advancing as top third-place teams.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,095,989
Data de Término
13 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups feeding a 32-team knockout stage and two bracket pathways separating top seeds, shapes trader views on semifinal qualifiers. Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead implied probabilities due to deep squads, strong FIFA rankings, and favorable group draws featuring teams like Uruguay, Senegal, and Algeria. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's victory, provide limited signals while highlighting co-host dynamics and rest advantages heading into the Round of 32. Key variables include injury updates to stars like Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi, historical semifinal experience, and potential upsets from sides advancing as top third-place teams.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,095,989
Data de Término
13 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Copa do Mundo: nação chega às semifinais" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Argentina" at 58%, followed by "France" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Copa do Mundo: nação chega às semifinais" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Copa do Mundo: nação chega às semifinais," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Copa do Mundo: nação chega às semifinais" is "Argentina" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Copa do Mundo: nação chega às semifinais" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.