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icon for pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?

pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?

icon for pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?

pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?

$20,870 Vol.

28 fev 2026
Polymarket

$20,870 Vol.

Polymarket

25%+

$5,197 Vol.

57%

30%+

$12,605 Vol.

49%

40%+

$2,898 Vol.

39%

50%+

$170 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models continue to trail frontier leaders on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark, a rigorous set of unpublished, research-level mathematics problems designed to test deep reasoning beyond saturated evaluations like MATH or AIME. As of mid-May 2026, top performers such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro sit near 52 percent, while Grok 4 variants have posted scores around 14 percent on earlier evaluations, with Grok 4.20 showing gains in related math and coding indices but no confirmed FrontierMath leap. Recent xAI releases emphasize multi-agent architectures, expanded context windows, and real-time data integration, supported by large-scale GPU clusters that could accelerate targeted improvements before the June 30 deadline. Traders are watching for any new Grok iteration or benchmark submission that might close the gap, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design and the benchmark's inherent difficulty limit rapid jumps.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,870
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models continue to trail frontier leaders on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark, a rigorous set of unpublished, research-level mathematics problems designed to test deep reasoning beyond saturated evaluations like MATH or AIME. As of mid-May 2026, top performers such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro sit near 52 percent, while Grok 4 variants have posted scores around 14 percent on earlier evaluations, with Grok 4.20 showing gains in related math and coding indices but no confirmed FrontierMath leap. Recent xAI releases emphasize multi-agent architectures, expanded context windows, and real-time data integration, supported by large-scale GPU clusters that could accelerate targeted improvements before the June 30 deadline. Traders are watching for any new Grok iteration or benchmark submission that might close the gap, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design and the benchmark's inherent difficulty limit rapid jumps.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,870
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25%+" at 57%, followed by "30%+" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?" has generated $20.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?" is "25%+" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30%+" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "pontuação xAI Grok no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.