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Mencho previsões e probabilidades

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Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$264K Vol.

$208K Liq.

69

Ends em 6 meses

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

20%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

167

Ends em 6 meses

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

27%

Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar

$143K Vol.

$505 Liq.

2

Ends há 4 meses

ITF Kamen: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Oleksii Krutykh

ITF Kamen: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Oleksii Krutykh

72%

Oleksii Krutykh

$114 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

52%

Daniel Merida Aguilar

$1.2K Vol.

$93.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs

100%

Despedidos

$827 Vol.

Ends há 3 meses

Argentina Monthly Inflation - June

Argentina Monthly Inflation - June

44%

1.8-2.0%

$3.7K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

99%

Fujimori 0–4%

$1M Vol.

$214K Liq.

28

Ends há 21 dias

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

100%

Despedidos

$1.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

100%

RED Canids Academy

$190 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

100%

QUINTESSÊNCIA

$4.7K Vol.

Ends há 2 meses

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D

53%

ALKA

$0 Vol.

$554 Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

100%

QUINTESSÊNCIA

$64 Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

88%

Morena

$52.8K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends em 11 meses

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck

50%

Carl Emil Overbeck

$4 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs

100%

Chicken Coop Esports

$0 Vol.

Ends há 3 meses

Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?

Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?

47%

$153 Vol.

$102 Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

72%

Thiago Seyboth Wild

$48 Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)

Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)

Germany

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 6 meses

ITF Brussels: Dylan Dietrich vs Max Hans Rehberg

ITF Brussels: Dylan Dietrich vs Max Hans Rehberg

56%

Max Hans Rehberg

$2 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mencho.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Mencho that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mencho predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.