Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% for an arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, reflecting the complete absence of criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ or FBI investigations amid only civil disputes over Pentagon AI contracts. Anthropic's March 2026 federal lawsuits challenging a Trump administration supply-chain risk label led to a judge blocking the ban on March 27, followed by a productive White House meeting on April 17 signaling de-escalation. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth's April 30 criticism calling Amodei an "ideological lunatic" produced no legal follow-through. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen developments like national security indictments or regulatory probes, though high barriers persist without evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$161,533 Объем
$161,533 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$161,533 Объем
$161,533 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% for an arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, reflecting the complete absence of criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ or FBI investigations amid only civil disputes over Pentagon AI contracts. Anthropic's March 2026 federal lawsuits challenging a Trump administration supply-chain risk label led to a judge blocking the ban on March 27, followed by a productive White House meeting on April 17 signaling de-escalation. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth's April 30 criticism calling Amodei an "ideological lunatic" produced no legal follow-through. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen developments like national security indictments or regulatory probes, though high barriers persist without evidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Объем
$161,533Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% for an arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, reflecting the complete absence of criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ or FBI investigations amid only civil disputes over Pentagon AI contracts. Anthropic's March 2026 federal lawsuits challenging a Trump administration supply-chain risk label led to a judge blocking the ban on March 27, followed by a productive White House meeting on April 17 signaling de-escalation. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth's April 30 criticism calling Amodei an "ideological lunatic" produced no legal follow-through. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen developments like national security indictments or regulatory probes, though high barriers persist without evidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$161,533Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% for an arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, reflecting the complete absence of criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ or FBI investigations amid only civil disputes over Pentagon AI contracts. Anthropic's March 2026 federal lawsuits challenging a Trump administration supply-chain risk label led to a judge blocking the ban on March 27, followed by a productive White House meeting on April 17 signaling de-escalation. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth's April 30 criticism calling Amodei an "ideological lunatic" produced no legal follow-through. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen developments like national security indictments or regulatory probes, though high barriers persist without evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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