Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 53%
<40 33%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.1%
НОВОЕ
$50,592 Объем
НОВОЕ
$50,592 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
<40
33%
40-64
53%
65-89
15%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140–164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 53%
<40 33%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.1%
НОВОЕ
$50,592 Объем
НОВОЕ
$50,592 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
<40
$11,137 Объем
33%
40-64
$3,409 Объем
53%
65-89
$3,546 Объем
15%
90-114
$4,890 Объем
2%
115-139
$2,152 Объем
<1%
140–164
$5,525 Объем
<1%
165-189
$4,931 Объем
<1%
190-214
$4,399 Объем
<1%
215-239
$4,666 Объем
<1%
240+
$5,937 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Объем
$50,592Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$50,592Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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