The tightly clustered probabilities around the 800–959 tweet range for Elon Musk on X in May 2026 highlight trader consensus that his posting volume will stay in a moderate band shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments. Recent business updates, regulatory filings, and public appearances have kept his activity steady without the spikes seen during major product launches or political moments, while historical monthly averages on the platform show similar pacing when news cycles remain balanced. Upcoming earnings reports and any high-profile statements could nudge the final count higher or lower, but the current market-implied odds reflect a competitive field where small shifts in daily engagement or platform algorithm changes remain the key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено920-959 11.4%
840–879 10.1%
800-839 9.6%
880-919 9.2%
$3,200,247 Объем
$3,200,247 Объем
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380–399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420–439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460–479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600–619
1%
620–639
1%
640-659
2%
660–679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760–779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840–879
10%
880-919
9%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040–1079
6%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160–1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360–1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440–1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
920-959 11.4%
840–879 10.1%
800-839 9.6%
880-919 9.2%
$3,200,247 Объем
$3,200,247 Объем
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380–399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420–439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460–479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600–619
1%
620–639
1%
640-659
2%
660–679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760–779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840–879
10%
880-919
9%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040–1079
6%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160–1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360–1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440–1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered probabilities around the 800–959 tweet range for Elon Musk on X in May 2026 highlight trader consensus that his posting volume will stay in a moderate band shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments. Recent business updates, regulatory filings, and public appearances have kept his activity steady without the spikes seen during major product launches or political moments, while historical monthly averages on the platform show similar pacing when news cycles remain balanced. Upcoming earnings reports and any high-profile statements could nudge the final count higher or lower, but the current market-implied odds reflect a competitive field where small shifts in daily engagement or platform algorithm changes remain the key swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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