Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows Austin under a strong high-pressure ridge with mostly sunny skies and south-southeast flow, supporting daytime highs near 99–101 °F on August 11. Model consensus clusters around 98–100 °F after recent days of 97–101 °F readings, with only isolated storm chances that could briefly limit peak temperatures. This narrow scientific range—typical for mid-August when climatological normals sit at 98 °F—explains why traders assign nearly equal weight to the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins while discounting both cooler and hotter extremes. Updated model runs and any increase in cloud cover or convection before resolution will be the key variables traders monitor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 11 августа?
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 44%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F или выше
1%
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 44%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$12 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$12 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$10 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$63 Объем
2%
96-97°F
$66 Объем
6%
98-99°F
$110 Объем
44%
100-101°F
$68 Объем
45%
102-103°F
$0 Объем
7%
104-105°F
$0 Объем
3%
106-107°F
$10 Объем
2%
108°F или выше
$10 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows Austin under a strong high-pressure ridge with mostly sunny skies and south-southeast flow, supporting daytime highs near 99–101 °F on August 11. Model consensus clusters around 98–100 °F after recent days of 97–101 °F readings, with only isolated storm chances that could briefly limit peak temperatures. This narrow scientific range—typical for mid-August when climatological normals sit at 98 °F—explains why traders assign nearly equal weight to the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins while discounting both cooler and hotter extremes. Updated model runs and any increase in cloud cover or convection before resolution will be the key variables traders monitor.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Объем
$361Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows Austin under a strong high-pressure ridge with mostly sunny skies and south-southeast flow, supporting daytime highs near 99–101 °F on August 11. Model consensus clusters around 98–100 °F after recent days of 97–101 °F readings, with only isolated storm chances that could briefly limit peak temperatures. This narrow scientific range—typical for mid-August when climatological normals sit at 98 °F—explains why traders assign nearly equal weight to the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins while discounting both cooler and hotter extremes. Updated model runs and any increase in cloud cover or convection before resolution will be the key variables traders monitor.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$361Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows Austin under a strong high-pressure ridge with mostly sunny skies and south-southeast flow, supporting daytime highs near 99–101 °F on August 11. Model consensus clusters around 98–100 °F after recent days of 97–101 °F readings, with only isolated storm chances that could briefly limit peak temperatures. This narrow scientific range—typical for mid-August when climatological normals sit at 98 °F—explains why traders assign nearly equal weight to the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins while discounting both cooler and hotter extremes. Updated model runs and any increase in cloud cover or convection before resolution will be the key variables traders monitor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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