Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 93°F for Dallas on July 4, 2026, supported by increased cloud cover, scattered morning showers, and southerly flow limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring the 98–99°F bin over 100–101°F reflects modest upward revisions in some short-range ensembles alongside historical July climatology near 95°F, while lower bins capture uncertainty from potential convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables differentiating narrow ranges include afternoon dew points, wind speeds, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming before resolution at official Dallas Love Field observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on July 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 4?
98-99°F 37%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 21%
102-103°F 4%
НОВОЕ
$13,670 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,670 Объем
4 июл. 2026 г.
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
28%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 37%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 21%
102-103°F 4%
НОВОЕ
$13,670 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,670 Объем
4 июл. 2026 г.
95°F or below
$1,057 Объем
2%
96-97°F
$3,477 Объем
21%
98-99°F
$4,440 Объем
37%
100-101°F
$630 Объем
28%
102-103°F
$721 Объем
4%
104-105°F
$819 Объем
2%
106-107°F
$623 Объем
1%
108-109°F
$794 Объем
<1%
110-111°F
$528 Объем
<1%
112-113°F
$385 Объем
<1%
114°F or higher
$195 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 93°F for Dallas on July 4, 2026, supported by increased cloud cover, scattered morning showers, and southerly flow limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring the 98–99°F bin over 100–101°F reflects modest upward revisions in some short-range ensembles alongside historical July climatology near 95°F, while lower bins capture uncertainty from potential convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables differentiating narrow ranges include afternoon dew points, wind speeds, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming before resolution at official Dallas Love Field observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$13,670Дата окончания
4 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 93°F for Dallas on July 4, 2026, supported by increased cloud cover, scattered morning showers, and southerly flow limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring the 98–99°F bin over 100–101°F reflects modest upward revisions in some short-range ensembles alongside historical July climatology near 95°F, while lower bins capture uncertainty from potential convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables differentiating narrow ranges include afternoon dew points, wind speeds, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming before resolution at official Dallas Love Field observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,670Дата окончания
4 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 93°F for Dallas on July 4, 2026, supported by increased cloud cover, scattered morning showers, and southerly flow limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring the 98–99°F bin over 100–101°F reflects modest upward revisions in some short-range ensembles alongside historical July climatology near 95°F, while lower bins capture uncertainty from potential convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables differentiating narrow ranges include afternoon dew points, wind speeds, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming before resolution at official Dallas Love Field observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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