Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 28°C for London on July 13, supported by ensemble model runs showing continued warm advection under high pressure before a gradual shift toward more unsettled conditions. Recent heatwave peaks near 35°C on July 9 have driven elevated baseline temperatures, but cooling signals including potential thunderstorms and a moderating Atlantic flow are compressing the distribution around 26–28°C. Trader consensus reflects this by heavily weighting 27°C and 28°C outcomes, consistent with historical July variability and the narrow window for further intensification before any frontal passage. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.