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Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 2 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 2 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 2 августа?

авг. 1

авг. 2

авг. 1

авг. 2

80-81°F 54%

78-79°F 31%

82-83°F 12%

77°F или ниже 5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$15,931 Объем

80-81°F 54%

78-79°F 31%

82-83°F 12%

77°F или ниже 5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$15,931 Объем

77°F или ниже

$3,413 Объем

5%

78-79°F

$2,168 Объем

31%

80-81°F

$3,179 Объем

54%

82-83°F

$1,896 Объем

12%

84-85°F

$919 Объем

4%

86-87°F

$893 Объем

1%

88-89°F

$1,001 Объем

1%

90–91°F

$402 Объем

<1%

92-93°F

$407 Объем

<1%

94-95°F

$407 Объем

<1%

96°F или выше

$1,246 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 80–82 °F on August 2, even amid a regional heat dome. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate afternoon temperatures at representative stations like KLAX or downtown will peak in the low 80s, with limited inland penetration of the warmest air mass due to the marine inversion. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and 30.5 % for 78–79 °F. Recent model runs show minimal warming trend from August 1, while historical August climatology places normal highs near 84 °F, underscoring how coastal moderation is overriding broader above-normal signals from NOAA outlooks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,931
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 80–82 °F on August 2, even amid a regional heat dome. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate afternoon temperatures at representative stations like KLAX or downtown will peak in the low 80s, with limited inland penetration of the warmest air mass due to the marine inversion. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and 30.5 % for 78–79 °F. Recent model runs show minimal warming trend from August 1, while historical August climatology places normal highs near 84 °F, underscoring how coastal moderation is overriding broader above-normal signals from NOAA outlooks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,931
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 2 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «80-81°F» с 54%, за ним следует «78-79°F» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 2 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $15.9K с момента запуска рынка Jul 31, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 2 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 2 августа?» — «80-81°F» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «78-79°F» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 2 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.