Active monsoon conditions across northern India, featuring widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and elevated humidity, are the primary driver keeping Lucknow's expected maximum temperature on August 21 centered on 32–34°C. These factors suppress daytime solar heating and promote convective cooling, aligning with India Meteorological Department and global model consensus that limits highs below typical pre-monsoon peaks. Recent observational data show persistent moisture and light winds reinforcing this pattern, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Updated forecast runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours could refine these ranges if rainfall intensity shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 21 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 21 августа?
33°C 39%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
26%
33°C
39%
34°C
22%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$598 Объем
<1%
28°C
$352 Объем
<1%
29°C
$191 Объем
1%
30°C
$393 Объем
2%
31°C
$239 Объем
10%
32°C
$221 Объем
26%
33°C
$817 Объем
39%
34°C
$415 Объем
22%
35°C
$215 Объем
7%
36°C
$125 Объем
1%
37°C or higher
$225 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions across northern India, featuring widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and elevated humidity, are the primary driver keeping Lucknow's expected maximum temperature on August 21 centered on 32–34°C. These factors suppress daytime solar heating and promote convective cooling, aligning with India Meteorological Department and global model consensus that limits highs below typical pre-monsoon peaks. Recent observational data show persistent moisture and light winds reinforcing this pattern, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Updated forecast runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours could refine these ranges if rainfall intensity shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,792Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions across northern India, featuring widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and elevated humidity, are the primary driver keeping Lucknow's expected maximum temperature on August 21 centered on 32–34°C. These factors suppress daytime solar heating and promote convective cooling, aligning with India Meteorological Department and global model consensus that limits highs below typical pre-monsoon peaks. Recent observational data show persistent moisture and light winds reinforcing this pattern, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Updated forecast runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours could refine these ranges if rainfall intensity shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,792Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions across northern India, featuring widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and elevated humidity, are the primary driver keeping Lucknow's expected maximum temperature on August 21 centered on 32–34°C. These factors suppress daytime solar heating and promote convective cooling, aligning with India Meteorological Department and global model consensus that limits highs below typical pre-monsoon peaks. Recent observational data show persistent moisture and light winds reinforcing this pattern, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Updated forecast runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours could refine these ranges if rainfall intensity shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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