**Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical models centers on a Madrid daily maximum of 38–39 °C on 18 August under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds.** This setup aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the central Iberian Peninsula, where daytime highs commonly reach the upper 30s °C. The near-certain market pricing on 39 °C reflects the tight clustering of model runs and official guidance around that threshold, with minimal expected deviation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include a faster-than-anticipated increase in afternoon cloud cover or a subtle shift in steering winds that caps the peak just below 39 °C; updated AEMET briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 18 августа?
39°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$79,207 Объем
$79,207 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$79,207 Объем
$79,207 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
34°C or below
$1,174 Объем
No
35°C
$1,622 Объем
No
36°C
$3,419 Объем
No
37°C
$7,040 Объем
No
38°C
$15,109 Объем
No
39°C
$23,767 Объем
Yes
40°C
$15,411 Объем
No
41°C
$7,595 Объем
No
42°C
$3,140 Объем
No
43°C
$330 Объем
No
44°C or higher
$599 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical models centers on a Madrid daily maximum of 38–39 °C on 18 August under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds.** This setup aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the central Iberian Peninsula, where daytime highs commonly reach the upper 30s °C. The near-certain market pricing on 39 °C reflects the tight clustering of model runs and official guidance around that threshold, with minimal expected deviation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include a faster-than-anticipated increase in afternoon cloud cover or a subtle shift in steering winds that caps the peak just below 39 °C; updated AEMET briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$79,207Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical models centers on a Madrid daily maximum of 38–39 °C on 18 August under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds.** This setup aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the central Iberian Peninsula, where daytime highs commonly reach the upper 30s °C. The near-certain market pricing on 39 °C reflects the tight clustering of model runs and official guidance around that threshold, with minimal expected deviation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include a faster-than-anticipated increase in afternoon cloud cover or a subtle shift in steering winds that caps the peak just below 39 °C; updated AEMET briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$79,207Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical models centers on a Madrid daily maximum of 38–39 °C on 18 August under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds.** This setup aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the central Iberian Peninsula, where daytime highs commonly reach the upper 30s °C. The near-certain market pricing on 39 °C reflects the tight clustering of model runs and official guidance around that threshold, with minimal expected deviation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include a faster-than-anticipated increase in afternoon cloud cover or a subtle shift in steering winds that caps the peak just below 39 °C; updated AEMET briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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