Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for August 11 in the 24–26°C range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 25°C outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature afternoon convection and cloud cover from the North American monsoon, which caps daytime highs near the seasonal average of 24°C while limiting extremes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest moisture levels that favor this narrow band, with limited upside potential beyond 26°C absent unexpected clearing. Official observations from Mexico's meteorological service will resolve the market the following day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 11 августа?
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$197 Объем
<1%
20°C
$183 Объем
<1%
21°C
$212 Объем
1%
22°C
$183 Объем
1%
23°C
$78 Объем
4%
24°C
$399 Объем
26%
25°C
$1,311 Объем
48%
26°C
$161 Объем
20%
27°C
$245 Объем
3%
28°C
$227 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$313 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for August 11 in the 24–26°C range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 25°C outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature afternoon convection and cloud cover from the North American monsoon, which caps daytime highs near the seasonal average of 24°C while limiting extremes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest moisture levels that favor this narrow band, with limited upside potential beyond 26°C absent unexpected clearing. Official observations from Mexico's meteorological service will resolve the market the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Объем
$3,507Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for August 11 in the 24–26°C range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 25°C outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature afternoon convection and cloud cover from the North American monsoon, which caps daytime highs near the seasonal average of 24°C while limiting extremes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest moisture levels that favor this narrow band, with limited upside potential beyond 26°C absent unexpected clearing. Official observations from Mexico's meteorological service will resolve the market the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,507Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for August 11 in the 24–26°C range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 25°C outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature afternoon convection and cloud cover from the North American monsoon, which caps daytime highs near the seasonal average of 24°C while limiting extremes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest moisture levels that favor this narrow band, with limited upside potential beyond 26°C absent unexpected clearing. Official observations from Mexico's meteorological service will resolve the market the following day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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