Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by moderate subtropical ridging allowing daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while scattered afternoon convection typical of the North American monsoon season limits further warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal insolation and dew points supporting peaks of 26–28°C before evening thunderstorms develop. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh ensemble consensus against resolution criteria tied to official station maxima, with minimal upside risk from stronger high-pressure buildup and downside from heavier rainfall. Updated guidance expected from national weather services on August 1 will likely refine the exact threshold before final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 2 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 2 августа?
27°C 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
18%
27°C
46%
28°C
29%
29°C
4%
30°C или выше
1%
27°C 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$241 Объем
<1%
21°C
$237 Объем
<1%
22°C
$233 Объем
<1%
23°C
$229 Объем
1%
24°C
$328 Объем
2%
25°C
$276 Объем
6%
26°C
$567 Объем
18%
27°C
$2,746 Объем
46%
28°C
$744 Объем
29%
29°C
$476 Объем
4%
30°C или выше
$243 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by moderate subtropical ridging allowing daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while scattered afternoon convection typical of the North American monsoon season limits further warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal insolation and dew points supporting peaks of 26–28°C before evening thunderstorms develop. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh ensemble consensus against resolution criteria tied to official station maxima, with minimal upside risk from stronger high-pressure buildup and downside from heavier rainfall. Updated guidance expected from national weather services on August 1 will likely refine the exact threshold before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$6,319Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by moderate subtropical ridging allowing daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while scattered afternoon convection typical of the North American monsoon season limits further warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal insolation and dew points supporting peaks of 26–28°C before evening thunderstorms develop. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh ensemble consensus against resolution criteria tied to official station maxima, with minimal upside risk from stronger high-pressure buildup and downside from heavier rainfall. Updated guidance expected from national weather services on August 1 will likely refine the exact threshold before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,319Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by moderate subtropical ridging allowing daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation while scattered afternoon convection typical of the North American monsoon season limits further warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly above-normal insolation and dew points supporting peaks of 26–28°C before evening thunderstorms develop. Market-implied odds cluster on these values because traders weigh ensemble consensus against resolution criteria tied to official station maxima, with minimal upside risk from stronger high-pressure buildup and downside from heavier rainfall. Updated guidance expected from national weather services on August 1 will likely refine the exact threshold before final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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