Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Milan highs likely peaking near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Po Valley that limits cloud cover and promotes daytime heating, alongside typical August insolation and urban heat-island effects. Model ensembles show modest spread due to uncertain boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal influences, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around these values while capping odds for 36°C or above. Historical climatology for early August places the 1991–2020 average daily maximum near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational data from Milan Linate or Malpensa stations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and inform any last-minute shifts in trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 3 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 3 августа?
35°C 37%
34°C 25%
33°C or below 17%
36°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
33°C or below
17%
34°C
25%
35°C
37%
36°C
17%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 25%
33°C or below 17%
36°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
33°C or below
$1,288 Объем
17%
34°C
$438 Объем
25%
35°C
$392 Объем
37%
36°C
$375 Объем
17%
37°C
$201 Объем
6%
38°C
$80 Объем
2%
39°C
$144 Объем
<1%
40°C
$121 Объем
<1%
41°C
$133 Объем
<1%
42°C
$458 Объем
<1%
43°C or higher
$455 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Milan highs likely peaking near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Po Valley that limits cloud cover and promotes daytime heating, alongside typical August insolation and urban heat-island effects. Model ensembles show modest spread due to uncertain boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal influences, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around these values while capping odds for 36°C or above. Historical climatology for early August places the 1991–2020 average daily maximum near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational data from Milan Linate or Malpensa stations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and inform any last-minute shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$4,084Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Milan highs likely peaking near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Po Valley that limits cloud cover and promotes daytime heating, alongside typical August insolation and urban heat-island effects. Model ensembles show modest spread due to uncertain boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal influences, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around these values while capping odds for 36°C or above. Historical climatology for early August places the 1991–2020 average daily maximum near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational data from Milan Linate or Malpensa stations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and inform any last-minute shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,084Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Milan highs likely peaking near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Po Valley that limits cloud cover and promotes daytime heating, alongside typical August insolation and urban heat-island effects. Model ensembles show modest spread due to uncertain boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal influences, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered around these values while capping odds for 36°C or above. Historical climatology for early August places the 1991–2020 average daily maximum near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational data from Milan Linate or Malpensa stations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and inform any last-minute shifts in trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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