Latest high-resolution ECMWF and GFS model runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy will deliver clear skies and light easterly flow to Milan on September 6, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 31–33 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with afternoon peaks most likely between 31 °C and 32 °C at urban stations such as Milano Linate, consistent with the current market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes. These values sit several degrees above the long-term September mean of ~26 °C, reflecting residual warmth from an early-month heat episode. Final resolution will hinge on official 24-hour maximum observations from authorized meteorological services, with the next model updates expected to refine boundary-layer mixing and any minor cloud development by early morning on the 6th.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 6 сентября?
32°C 57%
31°C 38%
33°C 5%
30°C 3%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
38%
32°C
57%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 38%
33°C 5%
30°C 3%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
38%
32°C
57%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution ECMWF and GFS model runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy will deliver clear skies and light easterly flow to Milan on September 6, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 31–33 °C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with afternoon peaks most likely between 31 °C and 32 °C at urban stations such as Milano Linate, consistent with the current market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes. These values sit several degrees above the long-term September mean of ~26 °C, reflecting residual warmth from an early-month heat episode. Final resolution will hinge on official 24-hour maximum observations from authorized meteorological services, with the next model updates expected to refine boundary-layer mixing and any minor cloud development by early morning on the 6th.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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