Traders assign near-certainty to a 30°C maximum in São Paulo on August 13 because official observations from Brazilian meteorological stations, including timeanddate records, logged a daytime peak of 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This aligns with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather and regional forecasts projecting 28–31°C amid warmer-than-average winter advection, exceeding the typical August climatology of 23–25°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on 30°C reflects convergence between real-time surface data and the resolution criteria tied to official high readings. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled station verification or differences between urban heat-island effects and rural reference sites used for the official record.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 13 августа?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$30,458 Объем
$30,458 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$30,458 Объем
$30,458 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$201 Объем
No
25°C
$347 Объем
No
26°C
$775 Объем
No
27°C
$1,261 Объем
No
28°C
$9,400 Объем
No
29°C
$8,201 Объем
No
30°C
$3,408 Объем
Yes
31°C
$3,416 Объем
No
32°C
$1,658 Объем
No
33°C
$552 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$1,240 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 30°C maximum in São Paulo on August 13 because official observations from Brazilian meteorological stations, including timeanddate records, logged a daytime peak of 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This aligns with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather and regional forecasts projecting 28–31°C amid warmer-than-average winter advection, exceeding the typical August climatology of 23–25°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on 30°C reflects convergence between real-time surface data and the resolution criteria tied to official high readings. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled station verification or differences between urban heat-island effects and rural reference sites used for the official record.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Объем
$30,458Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 30°C maximum in São Paulo on August 13 because official observations from Brazilian meteorological stations, including timeanddate records, logged a daytime peak of 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This aligns with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather and regional forecasts projecting 28–31°C amid warmer-than-average winter advection, exceeding the typical August climatology of 23–25°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on 30°C reflects convergence between real-time surface data and the resolution criteria tied to official high readings. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled station verification or differences between urban heat-island effects and rural reference sites used for the official record.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$30,458Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 30°C maximum in São Paulo on August 13 because official observations from Brazilian meteorological stations, including timeanddate records, logged a daytime peak of 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This aligns with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather and regional forecasts projecting 28–31°C amid warmer-than-average winter advection, exceeding the typical August climatology of 23–25°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on 30°C reflects convergence between real-time surface data and the resolution criteria tied to official high readings. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled station verification or differences between urban heat-island effects and rural reference sites used for the official record.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы