Recent short-range forecasts from INMET and regional models indicate São Paulo will likely see a daily maximum near 25–26°C on July 16, driven by reduced cloud cover and a temporary ridge of higher pressure suppressing typical winter cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes, as traders weigh the city’s July climatological average of 21–23°C against the current model consensus favoring modest warming. Key uncertainties remain around exact boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute frontal passage that could cap readings one degree lower. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 16 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 16 июля?
25°C 44%
26°C 33%
24°C 14%
27°C 7.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
44%
26°C
33%
27°C
7%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 44%
26°C 33%
24°C 14%
27°C 7.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$10 Объем
<1%
21°C
$20 Объем
1%
22°C
$33 Объем
1%
23°C
$31 Объем
7%
24°C
$46 Объем
14%
25°C
$86 Объем
44%
26°C
$19 Объем
33%
27°C
$5 Объем
7%
28°C
$10 Объем
7%
29°C
$189 Объем
2%
30°C or higher
$25 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from INMET and regional models indicate São Paulo will likely see a daily maximum near 25–26°C on July 16, driven by reduced cloud cover and a temporary ridge of higher pressure suppressing typical winter cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes, as traders weigh the city’s July climatological average of 21–23°C against the current model consensus favoring modest warming. Key uncertainties remain around exact boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute frontal passage that could cap readings one degree lower. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$474Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from INMET and regional models indicate São Paulo will likely see a daily maximum near 25–26°C on July 16, driven by reduced cloud cover and a temporary ridge of higher pressure suppressing typical winter cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes, as traders weigh the city’s July climatological average of 21–23°C against the current model consensus favoring modest warming. Key uncertainties remain around exact boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute frontal passage that could cap readings one degree lower. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$474Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from INMET and regional models indicate São Paulo will likely see a daily maximum near 25–26°C on July 16, driven by reduced cloud cover and a temporary ridge of higher pressure suppressing typical winter cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on those outcomes, as traders weigh the city’s July climatological average of 21–23°C against the current model consensus favoring modest warming. Key uncertainties remain around exact boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute frontal passage that could cap readings one degree lower. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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