Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 16 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 16 июля?
92-93°F 37%
90-91°F 29%
94-95°F 22%
89°F или ниже 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
13%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
92-93°F 37%
90-91°F 29%
94-95°F 22%
89°F или ниже 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июл. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$143 Объем
13%
90-91°F
$143 Объем
29%
92-93°F
$172 Объем
37%
94-95°F
$19 Объем
22%
96-97°F
$7 Объем
6%
98-99°F
$631 Объем
2%
100-101°F
$31 Объем
1%
102-103°F
$256 Объем
1%
104-105°F
$70 Объем
<1%
106-107°F
$70 Объем
<1%
108°F или выше
$118 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$1,659Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,659Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы