Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 2 high temperature centers on National Weather Service forecasts showing a moderate range driven by persistent marine air and a weak upper-level trough. Onshore southwesterly flow and increasing clouds are limiting daytime heating, keeping projected maxima near 70–73°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with the market's clustered probabilities around those bins. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early August under neutral ENSO conditions, where sea-surface temperatures near 55–58°F offshore moderate extremes. Key uncertainties include the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could add or subtract a few degrees, with model consensus narrow enough to explain the tight spread among 68–73°F outcomes rather than higher readings seen in hotter summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 2 августа?
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 25%
66-67°F 8%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 25%
66-67°F 8%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 2 high temperature centers on National Weather Service forecasts showing a moderate range driven by persistent marine air and a weak upper-level trough. Onshore southwesterly flow and increasing clouds are limiting daytime heating, keeping projected maxima near 70–73°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with the market's clustered probabilities around those bins. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early August under neutral ENSO conditions, where sea-surface temperatures near 55–58°F offshore moderate extremes. Key uncertainties include the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could add or subtract a few degrees, with model consensus narrow enough to explain the tight spread among 68–73°F outcomes rather than higher readings seen in hotter summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы