Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 4 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 4 августа?
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
33%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C или выше
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$41 Объем
<1%
30°C
$104 Объем
2%
31°C
$69 Объем
2%
32°C
$203 Объем
4%
33°C
$209 Объем
18%
34°C
$148 Объем
38%
35°C
$442 Объем
33%
36°C
$97 Объем
10%
37°C
$58 Объем
2%
38°C
$125 Объем
4%
39°C или выше
$61 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$1,558Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,558Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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