Latest short-range ensemble guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA places Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 23–24 °C, with the 22–25 °C outcomes commanding roughly 97 % combined market-implied probability. Daytime heating will be modulated by a weakening warm-sector flow, modest mid-level moisture, and possible afternoon cloud build-up that limits insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of any passing weak trough explain the narrow spread among the leading bins. Historical early-August analogs under comparable steering patterns rarely exceed 26 °C without strong subsidence, accounting for the steep probability drop-off above that threshold. Traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations that will set the official high before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 2 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 2 августа?
24°C 33%
23°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
23%
23°C
27%
24°C
33%
25°C
17%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
23°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$286 Объем
1%
21°C
$427 Объем
3%
22°C
$4,262 Объем
23%
23°C
$478 Объем
27%
24°C
$1,107 Объем
33%
25°C
$831 Объем
17%
26°C
$292 Объем
2%
27°C
$246 Объем
<1%
28°C
$191 Объем
<1%
29°C
$289 Объем
<1%
30°C or higher
$287 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA places Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 23–24 °C, with the 22–25 °C outcomes commanding roughly 97 % combined market-implied probability. Daytime heating will be modulated by a weakening warm-sector flow, modest mid-level moisture, and possible afternoon cloud build-up that limits insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of any passing weak trough explain the narrow spread among the leading bins. Historical early-August analogs under comparable steering patterns rarely exceed 26 °C without strong subsidence, accounting for the steep probability drop-off above that threshold. Traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations that will set the official high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$8,696Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA places Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 23–24 °C, with the 22–25 °C outcomes commanding roughly 97 % combined market-implied probability. Daytime heating will be modulated by a weakening warm-sector flow, modest mid-level moisture, and possible afternoon cloud build-up that limits insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of any passing weak trough explain the narrow spread among the leading bins. Historical early-August analogs under comparable steering patterns rarely exceed 26 °C without strong subsidence, accounting for the steep probability drop-off above that threshold. Traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations that will set the official high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,696Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range ensemble guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA places Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 23–24 °C, with the 22–25 °C outcomes commanding roughly 97 % combined market-implied probability. Daytime heating will be modulated by a weakening warm-sector flow, modest mid-level moisture, and possible afternoon cloud build-up that limits insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of any passing weak trough explain the narrow spread among the leading bins. Historical early-August analogs under comparable steering patterns rarely exceed 26 °C without strong subsidence, accounting for the steep probability drop-off above that threshold. Traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations that will set the official high before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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