Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international ensembles point to daytime maxima of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 3 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting a transitional high-pressure regime with mild northerly flow and reduced cloud cover that enhances insolation. These levels exceed the long-term early-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, consistent with NIWA guidance for near-average or slightly above-average conditions in the Wellington region. Market-implied odds heavily favor this narrow band because ensemble consensus shows limited scope for stronger southerly advection or persistent marine layer that would otherwise suppress temperatures. Upcoming short-range model updates and official briefings will clarify any shifts from these current steering patterns and radiative forcing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 августа?
16°C 59%
15°C 29%
17°C 12%
14°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
29%
16°C
59%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
15°C 29%
17°C 12%
14°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$417 Объем
<1%
11°C
$210 Объем
<1%
12°C
$300 Объем
<1%
13°C
$175 Объем
1%
14°C
$384 Объем
5%
15°C
$437 Объем
29%
16°C
$1,258 Объем
59%
17°C
$415 Объем
12%
18°C
$22 Объем
2%
19°C
$204 Объем
<1%
20°C or higher
$1 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international ensembles point to daytime maxima of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 3 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting a transitional high-pressure regime with mild northerly flow and reduced cloud cover that enhances insolation. These levels exceed the long-term early-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, consistent with NIWA guidance for near-average or slightly above-average conditions in the Wellington region. Market-implied odds heavily favor this narrow band because ensemble consensus shows limited scope for stronger southerly advection or persistent marine layer that would otherwise suppress temperatures. Upcoming short-range model updates and official briefings will clarify any shifts from these current steering patterns and radiative forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$3,823Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international ensembles point to daytime maxima of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 3 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting a transitional high-pressure regime with mild northerly flow and reduced cloud cover that enhances insolation. These levels exceed the long-term early-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, consistent with NIWA guidance for near-average or slightly above-average conditions in the Wellington region. Market-implied odds heavily favor this narrow band because ensemble consensus shows limited scope for stronger southerly advection or persistent marine layer that would otherwise suppress temperatures. Upcoming short-range model updates and official briefings will clarify any shifts from these current steering patterns and radiative forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,823Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international ensembles point to daytime maxima of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 3 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting a transitional high-pressure regime with mild northerly flow and reduced cloud cover that enhances insolation. These levels exceed the long-term early-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, consistent with NIWA guidance for near-average or slightly above-average conditions in the Wellington region. Market-implied odds heavily favor this narrow band because ensemble consensus shows limited scope for stronger southerly advection or persistent marine layer that would otherwise suppress temperatures. Upcoming short-range model updates and official briefings will clarify any shifts from these current steering patterns and radiative forcing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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