Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 2 августа?
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 43%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
83°F или ниже
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F или выше
<1%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 43%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
83°F или ниже
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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