Latest official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under clear skies, light winds, and limited marine cooling. This exceeds the mid-August climatological average of roughly 31°C, driven by regional heat patterns and atmospheric conditions that have aligned early observations with this threshold. Trader consensus, reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for 35°C, aggregates skin-in-the-game assessments of these model outputs and real-time data. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected sea breezes, increased cloud cover reducing insolation, or minor revisions in official station measurements at resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 12 августа?
35°C 100.0%
32°C или ниже <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$41,199 Объем
$41,199 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
32°C или ниже
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C
Да
36°C
Нет
37°C
Нет
38°C
Нет
39°C
Нет
40°C
Нет
41°C
Нет
42°C или выше
Нет
35°C 100.0%
32°C или ниже <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$41,199 Объем
$41,199 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
32°C или ниже
$3,131 Объем
Нет
33°C
$4,734 Объем
Нет
34°C
$10,051 Объем
Нет
35°C
$12,213 Объем
Да
36°C
$4,890 Объем
Нет
37°C
$3,182 Объем
Нет
38°C
$1,129 Объем
Нет
39°C
$526 Объем
Нет
40°C
$526 Объем
Нет
41°C
$376 Объем
Нет
42°C или выше
$441 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under clear skies, light winds, and limited marine cooling. This exceeds the mid-August climatological average of roughly 31°C, driven by regional heat patterns and atmospheric conditions that have aligned early observations with this threshold. Trader consensus, reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for 35°C, aggregates skin-in-the-game assessments of these model outputs and real-time data. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected sea breezes, increased cloud cover reducing insolation, or minor revisions in official station measurements at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$41,199Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under clear skies, light winds, and limited marine cooling. This exceeds the mid-August climatological average of roughly 31°C, driven by regional heat patterns and atmospheric conditions that have aligned early observations with this threshold. Trader consensus, reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for 35°C, aggregates skin-in-the-game assessments of these model outputs and real-time data. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected sea breezes, increased cloud cover reducing insolation, or minor revisions in official station measurements at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$41,199Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Latest official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under clear skies, light winds, and limited marine cooling. This exceeds the mid-August climatological average of roughly 31°C, driven by regional heat patterns and atmospheric conditions that have aligned early observations with this threshold. Trader consensus, reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for 35°C, aggregates skin-in-the-game assessments of these model outputs and real-time data. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected sea breezes, increased cloud cover reducing insolation, or minor revisions in official station measurements at resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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