Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–9 seats on average, with most placing the Ashkenazi Haredi party at 7 or 8. This range aligns with trader consensus because repeated surveys from multiple houses show stable support within the ultra-Orthodox electorate despite the military draft exemption remaining a central campaign issue. UTJ submitted a unified list after late internal tensions among its Agudat Yisrael factions were resolved without a formal split. The party's position within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, which trails a majority in most aggregates, further anchors expectations around the current polling band rather than significant gains or losses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено7-8 65%
9-10 16%
<7 13.8%
11+ 5.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<7
14%
7-8
65%
9-10
16%
11+
5%
7-8 65%
9-10 16%
<7 13.8%
11+ 5.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<7
$1,392 Объем
14%
7-8
$4,289 Объем
65%
9-10
$387 Объем
16%
11+
$547 Объем
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–9 seats on average, with most placing the Ashkenazi Haredi party at 7 or 8. This range aligns with trader consensus because repeated surveys from multiple houses show stable support within the ultra-Orthodox electorate despite the military draft exemption remaining a central campaign issue. UTJ submitted a unified list after late internal tensions among its Agudat Yisrael factions were resolved without a formal split. The party's position within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, which trails a majority in most aggregates, further anchors expectations around the current polling band rather than significant gains or losses.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Объем
$6,615Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–9 seats on average, with most placing the Ashkenazi Haredi party at 7 or 8. This range aligns with trader consensus because repeated surveys from multiple houses show stable support within the ultra-Orthodox electorate despite the military draft exemption remaining a central campaign issue. UTJ submitted a unified list after late internal tensions among its Agudat Yisrael factions were resolved without a formal split. The party's position within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, which trails a majority in most aggregates, further anchors expectations around the current polling band rather than significant gains or losses.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$6,615Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–9 seats on average, with most placing the Ashkenazi Haredi party at 7 or 8. This range aligns with trader consensus because repeated surveys from multiple houses show stable support within the ultra-Orthodox electorate despite the military draft exemption remaining a central campaign issue. UTJ submitted a unified list after late internal tensions among its Agudat Yisrael factions were resolved without a formal split. The party's position within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, which trails a majority in most aggregates, further anchors expectations around the current polling band rather than significant gains or losses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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