Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning 18–23 seats, well below its current 32. This consistent gap across multiple survey houses has driven trader consensus that the party will lose seats. Factors cited in reporting include voter shifts toward newer lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which frequently tops averages near 22–24 seats, alongside stable or rising support for parties like Naftali Bennett’s Together. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc hovers near or slightly above 50 seats in most surveys but still falls short of a majority, while Likud itself registers repeated lows. Economic concerns, particularly housing affordability among younger voters, and campaign dynamics appear to weigh on the party’s standing. Late shifts in turnout or coalition negotiations could still alter final results, yet current polling averages leave little room for Likud to match its prior seat total.