Trader consensus favors fewer than five posts from the primary Khamenei.ir account during the August 14–21 window, reflecting its established pattern of infrequent activity centered on reposted historical statements or religious commemorations rather than daily commentary. The account, maintained in the name of the late Supreme Leader following his death in early 2026 strikes, has shown limited output in recent weeks, with activity often tied to events such as Arbaeen observances rather than breaking developments. Successor Mojtaba Khamenei maintains separate active channels that post more frequently on regional tensions and resistance themes, yet market pricing indicates traders view the flagship account as operating under managed, low-volume protocols amid ongoing regional diplomacy and domestic consolidation. Absence of scheduled high-profile Iranian statements or escalations in the immediate period reinforces the probability of restrained volume, while any sudden diplomatic or security trigger could increase output.